Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.004528 0.004980 0.005467 0.006032 0.006672 0.007377 0.008215
2025-08-17 0.003807 0.004435 0.005164 0.006078 0.007203 0.008556 0.010324
2025-08-24 0.003347 0.004046 0.004895 0.006016 0.007476 0.009342 0.011956
2025-08-31 0.002966 0.003686 0.004592 0.005837 0.007532 0.009810 0.013185
2025-09-07 0.002730 0.003476 0.004444 0.005820 0.007773 0.010518 0.014808
2025-09-14 0.002607 0.003394 0.004448 0.005998 0.008284 0.011647 0.017193
2025-09-21 0.002409 0.003193 0.004266 0.005887 0.008356 0.012123 0.018620
2025-09-28 0.002239 0.003014 0.004097 0.005774 0.008403 0.012552 0.020016
2025-10-05 0.002120 0.002898 0.004008 0.005766 0.008604 0.013240 0.021950
2025-10-12 0.002046 0.002840 0.003996 0.005874 0.008995 0.014280 0.024679
2025-10-19 0.001934 0.002717 0.003878 0.005800 0.009074 0.014787 0.026473
2025-10-26 0.001847 0.002628 0.003803 0.005789 0.009254 0.015489 0.028767
2025-11-02 0.001751 0.002520 0.003697 0.005725 0.009353 0.016082 0.031016
2025-11-09 0.001684 0.002455 0.003655 0.005767 0.009649 0.017098 0.034414
2025-11-16 0.001602 0.002362 0.003561 0.005709 0.009750 0.017737 0.037086
2025-11-23 0.001507 0.002240 0.003412 0.005542 0.009624 0.017895 0.038632
2025-11-30 0.001447 0.002174 0.003350 0.005526 0.009791 0.018688 0.041946
2025-12-07 0.001425 0.002166 0.003387 0.005692 0.010337 0.020385 0.048076
2025-12-14 0.001358 0.002081 0.003284 0.005589 0.010318 0.020801 0.050759
2025-12-21 0.001295 0.001999 0.003184 0.005483 0.010282 0.021176 0.053420
2025-12-28 0.001253 0.001950 0.003137 0.005476 0.010458 0.022080 0.057946
2026-01-04 0.001229 0.001932 0.003145 0.005576 0.010880 0.023659 0.065123
2026-01-11 0.001182 0.001871 0.003071 0.005507 0.010912 0.024247 0.069154